tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1523319707289548972.post2603100793058412362..comments2023-09-26T11:49:31.690-04:00Comments on Cobra's Market View: 08/03/2009 Market Recap: No TitleCobrahttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09332879456290234613noreply@blogger.comBlogger20125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1523319707289548972.post-8065999701809597872009-08-04T19:03:33.271-04:002009-08-04T19:03:33.271-04:00to 'the small fish':
do you have any proo...to 'the small fish':<br /><br />do you have any proof that 'institutions are not participating much on the upside move'?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1523319707289548972.post-60194944460721498382009-08-04T18:21:39.755-04:002009-08-04T18:21:39.755-04:00dan black@7.52am, i think the s&p can do 1100-...dan black@7.52am, i think the s&p can do 1100-1200 this year, while the dow will likely and easily take out 10k.<br /><br />anon@3:50pm - on what world are you seeing bulls powerless? the reason this market keeps going up is because many are still as yet unwilling to give this bull the respect they should. fact is bulls are in control here, and although they seem illogical in their position,The Small Fishhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04619208391948286184noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1523319707289548972.post-88489183783576703602009-08-04T18:08:58.677-04:002009-08-04T18:08:58.677-04:00P/S shorting.. isnt the only way to make money, th...P/S shorting.. isnt the only way to make money, that is if making money is the REAL goal here....otherwise the real goal is to make money thru shorting....HUGE difference.!!<br /><br />Beware the subtle influences...EEMTRADERhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11811384171218211959noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1523319707289548972.post-40446871348662876612009-08-04T18:05:14.010-04:002009-08-04T18:05:14.010-04:00take it one day at a time..no need to have a bear ...take it one day at a time..no need to have a bear or bull mindset...just market heading up or down in the time frame we trade....helps keep the trader in the moment and trading whats in front...of me..rather than what it should do..this market should have gone down a few days ago.but it did not. <br /><br />it could go down any day..but it isnt down till it flips any ohter mindset of what it EEMTRADERhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11811384171218211959noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1523319707289548972.post-1510000793401297522009-08-04T17:44:49.283-04:002009-08-04T17:44:49.283-04:00Bears be patient, that's all I could say. I li...Bears be patient, that's all I could say. I like what Jason of www.sentimentrader.com said the other day: <br /><br />Every day, it seems like we're playing Russian Roulette with everyone else and one of these days the buyers will get a live round. But until then, we're nervously hearing that empty click every time sellers try to pull the trigger.Cobrahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09332879456290234613noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1523319707289548972.post-63072828475790785012009-08-04T17:39:28.938-04:002009-08-04T17:39:28.938-04:00market will go down. the question is when.
what r...market will go down. the question is when.<br /><br />what really worries me is how to distinguish the real pullback from fake ones - since bears like me are so 'ready' to give a big bite, just don't want to dent my teeth on a bone.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1523319707289548972.post-77565216838075978492009-08-04T17:23:06.150-04:002009-08-04T17:23:06.150-04:00Market will never ever - ever ever - go down...
C...Market will never ever - ever ever - go down...<br /><br />Caterpillar projected 2012 (why not 2050)earnings and it went up almost 5% in a day... Geez... That's insane..... That's too much money from the sideline is coming in - just to feed Government Sucks (GS) profit line. Retailers in and Government Sucks out... Then retailers are stuck with real $hit...<br /><br />That's "Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1523319707289548972.post-50811937571135818032009-08-04T17:16:40.720-04:002009-08-04T17:16:40.720-04:00what if, market keeps its happy time with lower an...what if, market keeps its happy time with lower and lower vol, and still not gets enough people to jump the ship, does GovShit dare to dump th market? <br /><br />i'm sure they will make some fake pall-backs before the real one - and those fake ones will still kill - so how to identify them?<br /><br />i'm waiting for my bite.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1523319707289548972.post-3379952494512304792009-08-04T16:20:20.830-04:002009-08-04T16:20:20.830-04:00Today volume is lower than yesterday on SPY.. HAHA...Today volume is lower than yesterday on SPY.. HAHA 4 days in row. Volume is going down and SPY's are closing in GReen.. Nice Job Govt. Shit (aka GS)Sumithttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09963463332639575982noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1523319707289548972.post-26405851323719082372009-08-04T15:50:14.099-04:002009-08-04T15:50:14.099-04:00Bulls are becoming powerless. A constant supply of...Bulls are becoming powerless. A constant supply of positive surprises would keep the rally going, and thats unlikely to happen.<br /><br />I think we will price a double dip recovery soon, that means we will retrace back to under 900.<br /><br />More like 1929-30 than 2003.<br /><br />BTW short-term shorts will be happy if we put a shooting star candle today.<br /><br />BobAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1523319707289548972.post-45324037947092690922009-08-04T07:58:15.585-04:002009-08-04T07:58:15.585-04:00Mr Cobra
Thank you for all your hard work. I hope...Mr Cobra<br /><br />Thank you for all your hard work. I hope life will richly bless you for sharing it with us.<br /><br />[Note to Mr Panic... I feel like a truck has hit me and just keeps backing over me since April.]Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1523319707289548972.post-347631674927979142009-08-04T07:52:00.640-04:002009-08-04T07:52:00.640-04:00If anyone still thinks we're going to 1200, re...If anyone still thinks we're going to 1200, read this article first...<br /><br />http://www.howestreet.com/articles/index.php?article_id=10333<br /><br />Dan BlackDan Blacknoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1523319707289548972.post-87354628290919570212009-08-04T05:52:39.810-04:002009-08-04T05:52:39.810-04:00Cobra:
Thank you for continuing to publish a grea...Cobra:<br /><br />Thank you for continuing to publish a great blog.<br /><br />When you have a minute, please post the daily seasonality chart for August.<br /><br />Thanks again!Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1523319707289548972.post-31223452183760095392009-08-04T00:49:55.746-04:002009-08-04T00:49:55.746-04:00Actually, the host who commented on the 60% AAII b...Actually, the host who commented on the 60% AAII bulls on his radio show is affiliated with AAII and often speaks at their events. He might be talking about the upcoming number which has yet to be released to the public. It makes sense. It took an awfully long time just to get 47%bulls.<br /><br />----Mr. PanicAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1523319707289548972.post-906052395040372532009-08-04T00:32:44.584-04:002009-08-04T00:32:44.584-04:00There is no telling where this rally will end, but...There is no telling where this rally will end, but I do not recommend holding long positions overnight for the coming weeks. The Fed has some key auctions coming up next week. If the dollar continues its plunge, the only choice left will be for the Fed to crash the equity markets and create a flight to safety. It's a possibility that would make me scared to hold a long position overnight.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1523319707289548972.post-81919439786322053542009-08-03T23:58:36.551-04:002009-08-03T23:58:36.551-04:00Hi Cobra -- Thanks for your continued efforts in a...Hi Cobra -- Thanks for your continued efforts in a very difficult and confusing timeframe, they are appreciated.<br /><br />Looking at the low volume and given the obvious manipulation in play, I was just thinking that high volume may just never return. <br /><br />The market has always been structured to screw the most people, so even if the bears become extinct - you gotta believe the bulls Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1523319707289548972.post-46148448243221176092009-08-03T23:13:52.563-04:002009-08-03T23:13:52.563-04:00Mr. Panic, that "baseball bat" feeling i...Mr. Panic, that "baseball bat" feeling is really interesting. HahaCobrahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09332879456290234613noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1523319707289548972.post-79778452679654536522009-08-03T22:59:56.418-04:002009-08-03T22:59:56.418-04:00AAII bulls were only 47%, decently bullish but the...AAII bulls were only 47%, decently bullish but they should go above 50%at least for a top.<br /><br />McClellan Oscillator components were at the highs of the year: 10% 775 5% 550ish<br />Other yearly high levels: Jan 6 774 (10%) 388 (5%)......May 8 687 (10%) 523 (5%)....<br /><br />Psychology-wise, I feel like I have been pummeled by a baseball bat all day today (even though SP is only Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1523319707289548972.post-2872303724047219512009-08-03T22:50:01.406-04:002009-08-03T22:50:01.406-04:00Dear Cobra,
A nice pullback to 97 would definatel...Dear Cobra,<br /><br />A nice pullback to 97 would definately help, but it is hard to believe 1000 isn't going to be defended here. I'm sure a lot of stops were set up today, so we may get a dip below 1000 to blow them out, but not sure we can close those two most recent gaps until much later.<br /><br />Just my big picture view. Thanks for all the hard work even though you may feel the ADDnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1523319707289548972.post-31676954695407387832009-08-03T22:19:48.138-04:002009-08-03T22:19:48.138-04:00Cobra
Your thinking too much on 'gaps'. W...Cobra<br /><br />Your thinking too much on 'gaps'. With so many computer trading program it doesn't care if gaps get filled or not.<br /><br />Not sure if you were trading 10 years ago but intra day move was nothing like today.<br /><br />Thanks for great works...Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com