Summary:
One day doesn't a trend make.
It's possible a short-term top is very close or already passed.
| Trend | Momentum | Comments - Sample for using the trend table. | |
| Long-term | Up | ||
| Intermediate | Up | Neutral | |
| Short-term | Up | Neutral | |
| My Emotion | Wait |
INTERMEDIATE-TERM: TREND STILL IS UP
0.0.2 SPY Short-term Trading Signals, a Bearish Reversal Bar was formed today but most importantly a follow-through is needed. Otherwise it’s just an one day wonder. Theoretically as long as $99.10 holds, intermediate-term still is up.
SHORT-TERM: STILL POSSIBLE A TOP IS CLOSE OR ALREADY PASSED
My major view is: 1.1.3 QQQQ Short-term Trading Signals and 7.3.2 SPX Cycle Watch (60 min). One says a top should be close whenever a black bar is formed and one says the market may already be topped.
Well, is today really a short-term top? Theoretically it’s not confirmed until the green line in chart 1.0.3 S&P 500 SPDRs (SPY 30 min) is broken. Pay attention to ChiOsc below, way too low, so SPY may rebound at least tomorrow morning. 1.0.4 S&P 500 SPDRs (SPY 15 min) should provide more clear view about the possibility of a rebound tomorrow morning. Anyway, the market usually needs a few days to reveal its true direction after the Fed day.
INTERESTING CHARTS:
6.4.0 SPX and NYMO Divergence Watch, this chart is bearish as NYMO is negative while SPX is making a new high. For some technical reasons, I cannot back test this kind of setup yet, just a quick glance shows that the setup may not suitable for the bull market. And that’s why I simply put this chart under “Interesting Charts” for your info only.
