My GUESS is that the market may close in green tomorrow. Two reasons:
CPCI reads around 1.57, this is too high and often results in an up day the next day. I cannot show you the chart now because only after 7:30pm ET, can the stockcharts.com has the correct readings. I calculated this reading directly from http://www.cboe.com/data/IntraDayVol.aspx. Well, stockcharts.com may have different readings tonight. I think as long as it reads above 1.55, the chances of a green close should be good tomorrow.
As mentioned in last night report, today is the end of 7 trading day cycle which could be a turning day. As we closed lower so probably the market will turn up tomorrow.
Oh, we had 4 days in a row a gap down open, so what the chances are that we have another gap down open tomorrow?
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thx, ding
ReplyDeleteCobra
ReplyDeleteThe other day you posted a chart of JNK:TLT. What name did you give to that ratio? Thanks!
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=JNK:TLT&p=D&b=3&g=0&id=p71208028719&a=173999032
ReplyDeleteHi Cobra,
ReplyDeleteI don't know why but it seems that CPCI always shows wrong indications. It failed a lot so prefer CPC. Anyway, this current rally ignored completely (SPX:CPC) what was very reliable in the past.
Don't you think that sentiment indicators are better in the current scenario? For example, in a tandem, McClellan, Zweig and Tick are showing bearish crosses at MACD (slow STO already crossed for at least 02 days)
Thanks for the nice work, as always!!!
AJVS
Thanks for your great work!
ReplyDeleteOEX put/call ratio is was 2.2 yest, today 1.73 - that has foreshadowed some big drops but it is not perfect.
ReplyDeletewe had a surge in CBOE put-call ratio today, doesnt it confirm a top in your model ?
ReplyDeleteWhere to check OEX put/call ratio?
ReplyDeleteCobra, Do you follow $NYMO and $NYHILO..
ReplyDelete$NYMO MACD and MACD-h gave a signal on july 13 that direction is going to change and MACD and MACD-H changing direction again now...
10 day moving ave. of both $nydec and $nydnv at extremes typically associated with tops.
ReplyDelete$CPCI shows 1.55 on stockcharts right now.. Is that a correct reading? if that's the correct information.. does it change your stance about tomorrow close to RED?
ReplyDeleteding
ReplyDeleteSumit, 1.55 is not good enough to predict an up day tomorrow but still it has chances. And yes, I follow NYMO and NYHILO, but mostly I only check overbought/oversold on them.
ReplyDeleteAnony at 7:17pm, my souce shows that OEX rose again today. It's bearish though.
Ajvs, I'll try to apply MACD on McClellan, Zweig and Tick to see if they have any edges. Thanks for the info.